Computational Complete Economy Models with Chat Interface

Try the Complete Economy Model

Decision and policy makers can simulate complex scenarios by describing scenarios and policy options in natural language. The policy description is then translated into programming code and parameters that feed into a simulation. The simulation, comprising millions of virtual firms and people, simulates the effect of the scenario and returns statistics and an analysis to the decision maker. The decision maker can then graphically and statistically explore the results of different policy options on the scenario and choose the policy that fits his success criteria best.

Complex Fiscal Simulations for Equitable and Effective Policy Outcomes

Try the fiscal simulator

Public spending must be efficient, effective, and equitable. This simulation models the public finance flows for the Federal State of Brazil, the 26+1 Brazilian states, the 5,570 municipalities down to 10,000 school districts. It can replicate the Brazilian education public finances and simulate any scenario from small regulatory changes to complete redesigns of the system, like centralizing redistribution on the federal level or decentralizing it completely.

Computable General Equilibrium models, as the name suggests, model the economy as in equilibrium; the transitions to the equilibrium are ignored. In the time spent outside equilibrium, the economy produces different quantities of goods and pollution as predicted by the equilibrium model. If the economy in this time outside of the equilibrium produces more climate gases, the predictions are dangerously wrong.

ABCE is a Python-based modelling platform for economics. ABCE allows users to express economic models in a concise manner. It automatises data collection and visualisation and makes it easy to create a web-app out of an agent-based model.

Independent Policy and Data Science Advisor

I advise governments and firms on public policy and build models of economic forecasting, labour markets, public finance, and industrial strategy, and ship them as graphical simulators that decision makers operate themselves rather than commission.

Economic Impact Analysis for Startups and Project Funding in KSA and UAE

At IA we provide model based end-to-end country impact analysis for projects, initiatives, and startups that look for venture capital in Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Data-Science and Modelling Practice Leader

Founding manager of the Data-Science and Modelling Practice. Transforming data into actionable insights for governments and decision makers. In the practice, we answered questions such as What is the trade-off between the health and the economic impact of a COVID lockdown decision? To do this, we provided a combination of socio-economic and epidemiological models, with a graphical user interface that policy makers can use to see the result of policy options.

Institute for New Economic Thinking

Built agent-based models that show regulators how systemic risk actually propagates through insurance and financial markets — balance sheet by balance sheet — and extended the same machinery to resolve climate and macroeconomic policy jointly. Then I shipped them as interactive web simulators, so policy makers could run their own scenarios instead of waiting on a modelling team.

Laboratório De Sistemas Inteligentes

On a FAPESP grant, I built a public finance simulation of Brazil's entire education system — federal government, 26 states, 5,600 municipalities — a model replicating how money actually flows and redistributes under existing law, and predicting what alternative laws would do to inequality.

Center for Complex Engineering Systems

Leading eight researchers at MIT, I built an agent-based simulation of Saudi Arabia's dual labour market on firm-level administrative data to redesign Nitaqat — delivered as a dashboard that gave three ministries a shared language to negotiate in. I developed industrial strategies for Saudi Arabia.